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AUS Australia Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.30 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier68%
Uavgjort17%
Borteseier15%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Ipswich FCCapalaba Bulldogs
Expected goals3.30Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
68% / 17% / 15%KampresultatHjemmeseier68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Capalaba Bulldogs win (15%)Dobbel sjanse1X85%1.18
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
3.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapIpswich FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ipswich FC win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Uavgjort17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Capalaba Bulldogs win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ipswich FC2.51

Hjemme share of expected goals 76.1%

Total expected goals3.30Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Capalaba Bulldogs0.79

Borte share of expected goals 23.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ipswich FC

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Capalaba Bulldogs

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.51
Expected goals
0.79
Ipswich FCCapalaba Bulldogs
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ipswich FC signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Capalaba Bulldogs signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ipswich FC vunnet 68%,Uavgjort 17%,Capalaba Bulldogs vunnet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over