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SCO Scotland Championship · Round 1 ·

Arbroath vs Inverness CT

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier43%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier30%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier43% selection probability
Projected score1–1ArbroathInverness CT
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
43% / 27% / 30%KampresultatHjemmeseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dobbel sjanse1272.8%1.37
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 49% · Nei 51%Begge lag scorerNei51%1.96
2.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Arbroath win43%2.33
Uavgjort27%3.70
Inverness CT win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arbroath1.34

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Inverness CT1.08

Borte share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nei 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Arbroath

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Inverness CT

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalBorte unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.34
Expected goals
1.08
ArbroathInverness CT
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arbroath signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inverness CT signalBorte unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Arbroath vs Inverness CT FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arbroath vunnet 43%,Uavgjort 27%,Inverness CT vunnet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under