MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
QAT Qatar Stars League · Fixture ·

Qatar SC Doha vs Al-Sadd SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win18%
Draw20%
Away win62%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Qatar SC DohaAl-Sadd SC
Expected goals3.69Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 20% / 62%Match resultAway win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qatar SC Doha win (18%)Double chanceX282%1.22
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.69 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapAl-Sadd SC winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Qatar SC Doha win18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp
Draw20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp
Al-Sadd SC win62%1.611.4262.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Qatar SC Doha1.34

Home share of expected goals 36.3%

Total expected goals3.69Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Al-Sadd SC2.35

Away share of expected goals 63.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Qatar SC Doha

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al-Sadd SC

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Win probability excluding draw
62%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.34
Expected goals
2.35
Qatar SC DohaAl-Sadd SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Qatar SC Doha signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Sadd SC signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Qatar SC Doha vs Al-Sadd SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Qatar SC Doha win 18%,Draw 20%,Al-Sadd SC win 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.69 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over