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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

UCAM Murcia CF vs Atletico Santa Cruz

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win63%
Draw24%
Away win13%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 63% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCAM Murcia CFAtletico Santa Cruz
Expected goals3.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 24% / 13%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Santa Cruz win (13.3%)Double chance1X86.7%1.15
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCAM Murcia CF win63%1.591.4064.1%
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%
Atletico Santa Cruz win13%7.697.5012%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCAM Murcia CF2.09

Home share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals3.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Atletico Santa Cruz1.13

Away share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UCAM Murcia CF

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atletico Santa Cruz

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.09
Expected goals
1.13
UCAM Murcia CFAtletico Santa Cruz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCAM Murcia CF signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Santa Cruz signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

UCAM Murcia CF vs Atletico Santa Cruz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCAM Murcia CF win 63%,Draw 24%,Atletico Santa Cruz win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over