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Atletico Astorga vs Salamanca CF UDS

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.18 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw26%
Away win34%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Atletico AstorgaSalamanca CF UDS
Expected goals3.18Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.18 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Astorga win40%2.502.3039.2%
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%
Salamanca CF UDS win34%2.942.6334.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Astorga1.68

Home share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.18Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Salamanca CF UDS1.50

Away share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Astorga

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Salamanca CF UDS

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.68
Expected goals
1.50
Atletico AstorgaSalamanca CF UDS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Astorga signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Salamanca CF UDS signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Atletico Astorga vs Salamanca CF UDS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Astorga win 40%,Draw 26%,Salamanca CF UDS win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over