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INT Argentina Torneo Promocional Amateur · Final ·

Ezeiza vs Belgrano Zarate

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win43%
Draw31%
Away win26%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1EzeizaBelgrano Zarate
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 31% / 26%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Belgrano Zarate win (25.7%)Double chance1X74.3%1.35
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.28 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ezeiza win43%2.332.0543.8%
Draw31%3.232.8831.2%
Belgrano Zarate win26%3.853.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ezeiza1.29

Home share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Belgrano Zarate0.99

Away share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ezeiza

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Belgrano Zarate

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.29
Expected goals
0.99
EzeizaBelgrano Zarate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ezeiza signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano Zarate signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ezeiza vs Belgrano Zarate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ezeiza win 43%,Draw 31%,Belgrano Zarate win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under