Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 30% / 30%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Aldosivi Reserves win (29.5%)Double chance1X70.5%1.42
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.13 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSarmiento Reserves winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarmiento Reserves win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
CA Aldosivi Reserves win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.6%
Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%
Away share of expected goals 40.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSarmiento Reserves
WLDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCA Aldosivi Reserves
WDLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
30%10
Points from supplied form
51.27
Expected goals
0.86Sarmiento ReservesCA Aldosivi Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Sarmiento Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sarmiento Reserves win 40%，Draw 30%，CA Aldosivi Reserves win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.13 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under。