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SCO Scotland League Challenge Cup · Fixture ·

Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.61 expected goals
Away form
Home win72%
Draw16%
Away win12%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 72% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win72% selection probability
Projected score2–1StranraerGala Fairydean
Expected goals3.61Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
72% / 16% / 12%Match resultHome win72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gala Fairydean win (11.6%)Double chance1X88.4%1.13
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.61 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stranraer win72%1.391.2273.8%
Draw16%6.255.7515.7%
Gala Fairydean win12%8.338.5010.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stranraer2.47

Home share of expected goals 68.4%

Total expected goals3.61Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Gala Fairydean1.14

Away share of expected goals 31.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stranraer

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gala Fairydean

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.47
Expected goals
1.14
StranraerGala Fairydean
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stranraer signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gala Fairydean signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stranraer win 72%,Draw 16%,Gala Fairydean win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over