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SCO Scotland League Challenge Cup · Fixture ·

Airdrieonians vs Stirling

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win55%
Draw24%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score2–1AirdrieoniansStirling
Expected goals3.51Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 24% / 22%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stirling win (21.8%)Double chance1X78.2%1.28
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.51 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Airdrieonians win55%1.821.6554.6%
Draw24%4.173.7524%
Stirling win22%4.554.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Airdrieonians2.15

Home share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals3.51Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Stirling1.36

Away share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Airdrieonians

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stirling

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
5
Points from supplied form
7
2.15
Expected goals
1.36
AirdrieoniansStirling
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Airdrieonians signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stirling signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Airdrieonians vs Stirling FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Airdrieonians win 55%,Draw 24%,Stirling win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over