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SCO Scotland League Challenge Cup · Fixture ·

Cowdenbeath vs East Kilbride

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win15%
Draw18%
Away win68%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 68% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win68% selection probability
Projected score1–2CowdenbeathEast Kilbride
Expected goals3.43Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
15% / 18% / 68%Match resultAway win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cowdenbeath win (14.6%)Double chanceX285.4%1.17
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cowdenbeath win15%6.677.5012%
Draw18%5.565.5016.3%
East Kilbride win68%1.471.2571.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cowdenbeath1.31

Home share of expected goals 38.2%

Total expected goals3.43Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

East Kilbride2.12

Away share of expected goals 61.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cowdenbeath

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

East Kilbride

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Win probability excluding draw
68%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.31
Expected goals
2.12
CowdenbeathEast Kilbride
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cowdenbeath signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02East Kilbride signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Cowdenbeath vs East Kilbride FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cowdenbeath win 15%,Draw 18%,East Kilbride win 68%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over