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SCO Scotland League Challenge Cup · Fixture ·

Dumbarton vs Celtic B

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.53 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw21%
Away win25%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 54% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1DumbartonCeltic B
Expected goals3.53Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 21% / 25%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Double chance1279.2%1.26
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Dumbarton win54%1.85
Draw21%4.76
Celtic B win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dumbarton2.13

Home share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals3.53Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Celtic B1.40

Away share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Dumbarton

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Celtic B

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
3
2.13
Expected goals
1.40
DumbartonCeltic B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dumbarton signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic B signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Dumbarton vs Celtic B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dumbarton win 54%,Draw 21%,Celtic B win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over