MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Portugal Liga 3 · Fixture ·

UD Oliveirense vs GD Vitoria de Sernache

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw26%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score1–1UD OliveirenseGD Vitoria de Sernache
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 26% / 22%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Vitoria de Sernache win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Oliveirense win52%1.921.7052.9%
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%
GD Vitoria de Sernache win22%4.554.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Oliveirense1.41

Home share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

GD Vitoria de Sernache0.90

Away share of expected goals 39%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UD Oliveirense

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

GD Vitoria de Sernache

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
0.90
UD OliveirenseGD Vitoria de Sernache
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Oliveirense signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Vitoria de Sernache signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UD Oliveirense vs GD Vitoria de Sernache FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Oliveirense win 52%,Draw 26%,GD Vitoria de Sernache win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under