Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 21% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mainz (W) win (19.7%)Double chanceX280.3%1.25
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mainz (W) win20%5.005.0017.8%—
Draw21%4.764.3320.6%—
Werder Bremen (W) win59%1.691.4561.5%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 39.5%
Total expected goals3.29Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%
Away share of expected goals 60.5%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchMainz (W)
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchWerder Bremen (W)
WWLLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
20%
Win probability excluding draw
59%0
Points from supplied form
71.30
Expected goals
1.99Mainz (W)Werder Bremen (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Mainz (W) vs Werder Bremen (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Mainz (W) win 20%，Draw 21%，Werder Bremen (W) win 59%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over。