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INT Brazil Campeonato Paulista Serie B U20 · Fixture ·

Comercial U20 vs Rio Branco EC U20

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Comercial U20Rio Branco EC U20
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rio Branco EC U20 win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Comercial U20 win51%1.961.7551.6%
Draw26%3.853.5025.8%
Rio Branco EC U20 win24%4.174.0022.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Comercial U201.55

Home share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Rio Branco EC U201.07

Away share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Comercial U20

2.00pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/4

Away-context · form sequence

Rio Branco EC U20

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.55
Expected goals
1.07
Comercial U20Rio Branco EC U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Comercial U20 signalHome unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rio Branco EC U20 signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Comercial U20 vs Rio Branco EC U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Comercial U20 win 51%,Draw 26%,Rio Branco EC U20 win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under