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INT Brazil Campeonato Paulista Serie B U20 · Match ·

Comercial - U20 vs Rio Branco EC - U20

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile51%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Comercial - U20Rio Branco EC - U20
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
51% / 26% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rio Branco EC - U20 win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Comercial - U20 win51%1.961.7551.6%
Nul26%3.853.5025.8%
Rio Branco EC - U20 win24%4.174.0022.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Comercial - U201.55

Domicile share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Rio Branco EC - U201.07

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Comercial - U20

2.00pts / match
Joués4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/4

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Rio Branco EC - U20

2.00pts / match
Joués2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.55
Expected goals
1.07
Comercial - U20Rio Branco EC - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Comercial - U20 signalDomicile unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rio Branco EC - U20 signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Comercial - U20 vs Rio Branco EC - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Comercial - U20 victoire 51%,Nul 26%,Rio Branco EC - U20 victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de