What is the Benfica U23 vs Rio Ave U23 prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 48%.

What are the Benfica U23 vs Rio Ave U23 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica U23 win 48%, draw 24%, and Rio Ave U23 win 28%.

How many goals are expected in Benfica U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

The displayed projection is 3.28 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 64%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

PRT Portugal U23 League · Final · Fri, Aug 21, 00:00

Benfica U23 vs Rio Ave U23

Prediction review

Home form

Final score0–0Forecast 2–1

Away form

Home win48%

Draw24%

Away win28%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability

Prediction LostAug 21, 2026, 02:20

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability

Projected score2–1Benfica U23 — Rio Ave U23

Expected goals3.28Open match profile

Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side

Expected corners10.0Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

48% / 24% / 28%Match resultHome win48%2.08

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Double chance1276.5%1.31

Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56

Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59

3.28 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.0%Largest probability gapRio Ave U23 winDifference-0.6 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Benfica U23 win48%2.081.8547.8%+0.2 pp

Draw24%4.173.7523.6%+0.4 pp

Rio Ave U23 win28%3.573.1028.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica U231.95

Home share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.28Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Rio Ave U231.33

Away share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Benfica U23

1.40pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rio Ave U23

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

48%

Win probability excluding draw

28%

Points from supplied form

1.95

Expected goals

1.33

Benfica U23Rio Ave U23

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica U23 signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rio Ave U23 signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions