MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Fixture ·

Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw25%
Away win19%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 25% / 19%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vanspor FK win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mardin 1969 win56%1.791.5757.1%
Draw25%4.003.6024.9%
Vanspor FK win19%5.265.0017.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mardin 19691.79

Home share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Vanspor FK1.07

Away share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mardin 1969

2.33pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalHome unbeaten 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

Vanspor FK

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.79
Expected goals
1.07
Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mardin 1969 signalHome unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vanspor FK signalHome clean sheets: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mardin 1969 win 56%,Draw 25%,Vanspor FK win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over