Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 26% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.81 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istanbulspor win30%3.333.1028.9%—
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%—
Fatih Karagumruk win43%2.332.0044.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 47.7%
Total expected goals2.81Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 52.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchIstanbulspor
LDLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchFatih Karagumruk
WWLWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Win probability excluding draw
43%7
Points from supplied form
121.34
Expected goals
1.47IstanbulsporFatih Karagumruk
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Istanbulspor vs Fatih Karagumruk FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Istanbulspor win 30%，Draw 26%，Fatih Karagumruk win 43%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.81 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。