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LTU Lithuania II Lyga · Round 28 ·

FM Klaipedos vs FK Sirvena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw29%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1FM KlaipedosFK Sirvena
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Double chance1270.8%1.41
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FM Klaipedos win36%2.78
Draw29%3.45
FK Sirvena win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FM Klaipedos1.31

Home share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

FK Sirvena1.26

Away share of expected goals 49%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FM Klaipedos

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Sirvena

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.31
Expected goals
1.26
FM KlaipedosFK Sirvena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FM Klaipedos signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Sirvena signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FM Klaipedos vs FK Sirvena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FM Klaipedos win 36%,Draw 29%,FK Sirvena win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under