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GRC Greece Cup · Fixture ·

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw29%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nestos ChrisoupolisApollon Kalamarias
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 29% / 22%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Apollon Kalamarias win (21.9%)Double chance1X78.1%1.28
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nestos Chrisoupolis win49%2.041.9148.6%
Draw29%3.453.1029.9%
Apollon Kalamarias win22%4.554.3321.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nestos Chrisoupolis1.60

Home share of expected goals 60.4%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Apollon Kalamarias1.05

Away share of expected goals 39.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nestos Chrisoupolis

0.50pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Apollon Kalamarias

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
1
Points from supplied form
0
1.60
Expected goals
1.05
Nestos ChrisoupolisApollon Kalamarias
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nestos Chrisoupolis signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apollon Kalamarias signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nestos Chrisoupolis win 49%,Draw 29%,Apollon Kalamarias win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under