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GRC Greece Cup · Fixture ·

Atromitos Athinon vs Pyrgos AFC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win77%
Draw14%
Away win10%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win77% selection probability
Projected score2–1Atromitos AthinonPyrgos AFC
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
77% / 14% / 10%Match resultHome win77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pyrgos AFC win (9.7%)Double chance1X90.3%1.11
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atromitos Athinon win77%1.301.1879.1%
Draw14%7.147.5012.4%
Pyrgos AFC win10%10.0011.008.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atromitos Athinon2.02

Home share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Pyrgos AFC0.78

Away share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atromitos Athinon

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pyrgos AFC

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Win probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
0
2.02
Expected goals
0.78
Atromitos AthinonPyrgos AFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atromitos Athinon signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pyrgos AFC signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Atromitos Athinon vs Pyrgos AFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atromitos Athinon win 77%,Draw 14%,Pyrgos AFC win 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over