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INT Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · Final ·

Atletico Rafaela Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win28%
Draw30%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico Rafaela ReservesQuilmes Reserves
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 30% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Rafaela Reserves win (28.3%)Double chanceX271.7%1.39
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapAtletico Rafaela Reserves winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Rafaela Reserves win28%3.573.1029%-1.0 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Quilmes Reserves win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Rafaela Reserves0.68

Home share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Quilmes Reserves1.18

Away share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Rafaela Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Quilmes Reserves

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.18
Atletico Rafaela ReservesQuilmes Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Rafaela Reserves signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Quilmes Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atletico Rafaela Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Rafaela Reserves win 28%,Draw 30%,Quilmes Reserves win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under