Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 20% / 16%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin de San Juan Reserves win (15.7%)Double chance1X84.3%1.19
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapFerro Carril Oeste Reserves winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves win65%1.541.4263.5%+1.5 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020.1%-0.1 pp
San Martin de San Juan Reserves win16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 76.3%
Total expected goals3.21Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 23.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchFerro Carril Oeste Reserves
LLDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchSan Martin de San Juan Reserves
DLDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
65%
Win probability excluding draw
16%5
Points from supplied form
32.45
Expected goals
0.76Ferro Carril Oeste ReservesSan Martin de San Juan Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves vs San Martin de San Juan Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves win 65%，Draw 20%，San Martin de San Juan Reserves win 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。