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SAU Saudi Arabia Cup · Fixture ·

Al Draih vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win15%
Draw19%
Away win66%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 66% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win66% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al DraihAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
15% / 19% / 66%Match resultAway win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Draih win (15.2%)Double chanceX284.8%1.18
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Draih win15%6.676.5013.7%
Draw19%5.265.0017.8%
Al-Nassr Riyadh win66%1.521.3068.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Draih0.91

Home share of expected goals 33.7%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Al-Nassr Riyadh1.79

Away share of expected goals 66.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Draih

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Win probability excluding draw
66%
0
Points from supplied form
0
0.91
Expected goals
1.79
Al DraihAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Draih signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Al Draih vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Draih win 15%,Draw 19%,Al-Nassr Riyadh win 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over