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SAU Saudi Arabia Cup · Fixture ·

Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Jeddah

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win18%
Draw21%
Away win61%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al NajmaAl Ittihad Jeddah
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 21% / 61%Match resultAway win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Najma win (18.4%)Double chanceX281.6%1.23
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Najma win18%5.565.2517.1%
Draw21%4.764.5019.9%
Al Ittihad Jeddah win61%1.641.4263.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Najma0.97

Home share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Al Ittihad Jeddah1.71

Away share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Najma

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

Al Ittihad Jeddah

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Win probability excluding draw
61%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
1.71
Al NajmaAl Ittihad Jeddah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Najma signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Ittihad Jeddah signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Jeddah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Najma win 18%,Draw 21%,Al Ittihad Jeddah win 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over