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SWE Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Final ·

Vänersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–2Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win35%
Draw24%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Vänersborgs IFVanersborgs FK
Expected goals3.38Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 24% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Double chance1276%1.32
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.38 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapVänersborgs IF winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vänersborgs IF win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Vanersborgs FK win41%2.442.1541.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vänersborgs IF1.73

Home share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.38Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Vanersborgs FK1.65

Away share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Vänersborgs IF

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vanersborgs FK

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.65
Vänersborgs IFVanersborgs FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vänersborgs IF signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vanersborgs FK signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Vänersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vänersborgs IF win 35%,Draw 24%,Vanersborgs FK win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over