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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 2 · Final ·

Kvik Trondheim vs Aalesunds FK 2

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–2Forecast 3–1
Away form
Home win45%
Draw21%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score3–1Kvik TrondheimAalesunds FK 2
Expected goals3.61Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 21% / 35%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.7%)Double chance1279.3%1.26
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
3.61 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapKvik Trondheim winDifference+3.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kvik Trondheim win45%2.222.1541.8%+3.2 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Aalesunds FK 2 win35%2.862.4037.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kvik Trondheim2.66

Home share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals3.61Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Aalesunds FK 20.95

Away share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kvik Trondheim

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Aalesunds FK 2

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
3
Points from supplied form
6
2.66
Expected goals
0.95
Kvik TrondheimAalesunds FK 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kvik Trondheim signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesunds FK 2 signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Kvik Trondheim vs Aalesunds FK 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kvik Trondheim win 45%,Draw 21%,Aalesunds FK 2 win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over