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SVN Slovenia Prva Liga · Fixture ·

NK Bravo vs NS Mura

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK BravoNS Mura
Expected goals3.09Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NS Mura win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
3.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
NK Bravo win51%1.96
Draw26%3.85
NS Mura win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Bravo2.02

Home share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.09Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

NS Mura1.07

Away share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NK Bravo

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

NS Mura

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
6
2.02
Expected goals
1.07
NK BravoNS Mura
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Bravo signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NS Mura signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

NK Bravo vs NS Mura FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Bravo win 51%,Draw 26%,NS Mura win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over