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ROU Romania Liga I · Fixture ·

Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw27%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Farul ConstantaFC Botosani
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 27% / 23%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Botosani win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Farul Constanta win50%2.001.8050.2%-0.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FC Botosani win23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Farul Constanta1.64

Home share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

FC Botosani1.01

Away share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Farul Constanta

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Botosani

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.64
Expected goals
1.01
Farul ConstantaFC Botosani
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Farul Constanta signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Botosani signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Farul Constanta win 50%,Draw 27%,FC Botosani win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under