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POL Poland I Liga · Fixture ·

Chrobry Glogow vs Ruch Chorzow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw28%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chrobry GlogowRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 28% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapRuch Chorzow winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chrobry Glogow win32%3.132.9030.7%+1.3 pp
Draw28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win40%2.502.1541.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chrobry Glogow1.22

Home share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Ruch Chorzow0.97

Away share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chrobry Glogow

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.97
Chrobry GlogowRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chrobry Glogow signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Chrobry Glogow vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chrobry Glogow win 32%,Draw 28%,Ruch Chorzow win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under