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INT Peru Liga 1 · Fixture ·

Cienciano vs Cusco FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw26%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoCusco FC
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 26% / 27%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Cienciano win47%2.13
Draw26%3.85
Cusco FC win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.96

Home share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Cusco FC1.27

Away share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cienciano

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cusco FC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.96
Expected goals
1.27
CiencianoCusco FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cusco FC signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Cusco FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano win 47%,Draw 26%,Cusco FC win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over