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INT Perù - Liga 1 · Partita ·

Cienciano vs Cusco FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoCusco FC
Expected goals3.23Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra63% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 26% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppia Chance1273.9%1.35
Sopra 63% · Sotto 37%Goals 2.5Sopra63%1.59
Sì 62% · No 38%Entrambe le squadre segnano62%1.61
3.23 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Cienciano win47%2.13
Pareggio26%3.85
Cusco FC win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.96

Casa share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.23Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 63% · Sotto 37%

Cusco FC1.27

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 62% · No 38%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cienciano

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cusco FC

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.96
Expected goals
1.27
CiencianoCusco FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cusco FC signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Cusco FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano vinta 47%,Pareggio 26%,Cusco FC vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Sopra 2.5 63% · Current selection Sopra