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FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.99 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw27%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Flora TallinnPaide Linnameeskond
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 27% / 25%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Paide Linnameeskond win (25%)Double chance1X75%1.33
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.99 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Flora Tallinn win49%2.04
Draw27%3.70
Paide Linnameeskond win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora Tallinn1.90

Home share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Paide Linnameeskond1.09

Away share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.90
Expected goals
1.09
FC Flora TallinnPaide Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora Tallinn signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paide Linnameeskond signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Flora Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora Tallinn win 49%,Draw 27%,Paide Linnameeskond win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over