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ENG England EFL Cup · Fixture ·

Bradford vs Burnley

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw28%
Away win45%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–2BradfordBurnley
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 28% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bradford win (27.1%)Double chanceX272.9%1.37
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bradford win27%3.703.6026.3%
Draw28%3.573.3028.7%
Burnley win45%2.222.1045.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bradford1.20

Home share of expected goals 44.1%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Burnley1.52

Away share of expected goals 55.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bradford

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Burnley

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.20
Expected goals
1.52
BradfordBurnley
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bradford signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Burnley signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bradford vs Burnley FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bradford win 27%,Draw 28%,Burnley win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over