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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Fixture ·

Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw18%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score2–1Slovan BratislavaMFK Zemplin Michalovce
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 18% / 11%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Zemplin Michalovce win (11.4%)Double chance1X88.6%1.13
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slovan Bratislava win71%1.411.2971.1%-0.1 pp
Draw18%5.565.2517.5%+0.5 pp
MFK Zemplin Michalovce win11%9.098.0011.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slovan Bratislava2.15

Home share of expected goals 74.1%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

MFK Zemplin Michalovce0.75

Away share of expected goals 25.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Slovan Bratislava

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

MFK Zemplin Michalovce

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
15
Points from supplied form
4
2.15
Expected goals
0.75
Slovan BratislavaMFK Zemplin Michalovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slovan Bratislava signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Zemplin Michalovce signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Zemplin Michalovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slovan Bratislava win 71%,Draw 18%,MFK Zemplin Michalovce win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over