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SVN Slovenia U19 League · Fixture ·

NK Celje U19 vs Jadran Dekani U19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win73%
Draw16%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win73% selection probability
Projected score3–1NK Celje U19Jadran Dekani U19
Expected goals4.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 16% / 11%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jadran Dekani U19 win (10.5%)Double chance1X89.5%1.12
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
4.07 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapNK Celje U19 winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje U19 win73%1.371.2571.7%+1.3 pp
Draw16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp
Jadran Dekani U19 win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje U193.33

Home share of expected goals 81.8%

Total expected goals4.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

Jadran Dekani U190.74

Away share of expected goals 18.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NK Celje U19

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Jadran Dekani U19

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.33
Expected goals
0.74
NK Celje U19Jadran Dekani U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje U19 signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jadran Dekani U19 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

NK Celje U19 vs Jadran Dekani U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje U19 win 73%,Draw 16%,Jadran Dekani U19 win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.07 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over