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Parma vs Sampdoria

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw25%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ParmaSampdoria
Expected goals3.25Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sampdoria win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parma win52%1.921.7052.9%
Draw25%4.003.5025.7%
Sampdoria win22%4.554.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parma1.93

Home share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals3.25Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Sampdoria1.32

Away share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Parma

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sampdoria

2.00pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalHome unbeaten in 4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.93
Expected goals
1.32
ParmaSampdoria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parma signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sampdoria signalHome unbeaten in 4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Parma vs Sampdoria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parma win 52%,Draw 25%,Sampdoria win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over