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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Parma vs Sampdoria Genua

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg22%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ParmaSampdoria Genua
Expected goals3.25Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 25% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sampdoria Genua win (22.3%)Doppelte Chance1X77.7%1.29
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parma win52%1.921.7052.9%
Unentschieden25%4.003.5025.7%
Sampdoria Genua win22%4.554.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parma1.93

Heim share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals3.25Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Sampdoria Genua1.32

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Parma

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sampdoria Genua

2.00pts / match
Gespielt4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten in 4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.93
Expected goals
1.32
ParmaSampdoria Genua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parma signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sampdoria Genua signalHeim unbeaten in 4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Parma vs Sampdoria Genua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parma Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 25%,Sampdoria Genua Gewinn 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über