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MDA Moldova Divizia Nationala · Round 3 ·

Zimbru Chisinau vs CS Petrocub

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw27%
Away win27%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zimbru ChisinauCS Petrocub
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 27%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Double chance1273.3%1.36
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin13.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zimbru Chisinau win46%2.171.9146.3%
Draw27%3.703.3026.8%
CS Petrocub win27%3.703.3026.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zimbru Chisinau1.57

Home share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

CS Petrocub1.22

Away share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zimbru Chisinau

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CS Petrocub

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.22
Zimbru ChisinauCS Petrocub
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zimbru Chisinau signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Petrocub signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Zimbru Chisinau vs CS Petrocub FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zimbru Chisinau win 46%,Draw 27%,CS Petrocub win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over