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MWI Malawi Super League · Fixture ·

Masters Security vs CIVO United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw29%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Masters SecurityCIVO United
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 29% / 21%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CIVO United win (20.5%)Double chance1X79.5%1.26
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.41 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapMasters Security winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Masters Security win50%2.001.8348.9%+1.1 pp
Draw29%3.453.0029.8%-0.8 pp
CIVO United win21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Masters Security1.78

Home share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

CIVO United0.63

Away share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Masters Security

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CIVO United

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.78
Expected goals
0.63
Masters SecurityCIVO United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Masters Security signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CIVO United signalAway failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Masters Security vs CIVO United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Masters Security win 50%,Draw 29%,CIVO United win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under