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BIH Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · Fixture ·

Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw29%
Away win27%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Zrinjski MostarNK Celik Zenica
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 29% / 27%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Celik Zenica win (27%)Double chance1X73%1.37
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Zrinjski Mostar win44%2.27
Draw29%3.45
NK Celik Zenica win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zrinjski Mostar1.27

Home share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

NK Celik Zenica0.92

Away share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zrinjski Mostar

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

NK Celik Zenica

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.27
Expected goals
0.92
Zrinjski MostarNK Celik Zenica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zrinjski Mostar signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Celik Zenica signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zrinjski Mostar win 44%,Draw 29%,NK Celik Zenica win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under