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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Fixture ·

Leca vs Sao Joao Ver

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw28%
Away win28%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1LecaSao Joao Ver
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 28% / 28%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leca win44%2.272.0044.8%
Draw28%3.573.2527.6%
Sao Joao Ver win28%3.573.2527.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leca1.30

Home share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Sao Joao Ver0.99

Away share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Leca

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Sao Joao Ver

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
1
Points from supplied form
11
1.30
Expected goals
0.99
LecaSao Joao Ver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leca signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Joao Ver signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Leca vs Sao Joao Ver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leca win 44%,Draw 28%,Sao Joao Ver win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under