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Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw29%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boston Legacy FC (W)Portland Thorns (W)
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 29% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Boston Legacy FC (W) win32%3.13
Draw29%3.45
Portland Thorns (W) win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston Legacy FC (W)1.17

Home share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Portland Thorns (W)1.36

Away share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Boston Legacy FC (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Portland Thorns (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.17
Expected goals
1.36
Boston Legacy FC (W)Portland Thorns (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston Legacy FC (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Portland Thorns (W) signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston Legacy FC (W) win 32%,Draw 29%,Portland Thorns (W) win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under