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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Fixture ·

Cologne vs Real Sociedad

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw26%
Away win37%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1CologneReal Sociedad
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 26% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cologne win36%2.782.5036%
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%
Real Sociedad win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cologne1.47

Home share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Real Sociedad1.46

Away share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cologne

3.00pts / match
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.47
Expected goals
1.46
CologneReal Sociedad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cologne signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Cologne vs Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cologne win 36%,Draw 26%,Real Sociedad win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over