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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Partido ·

Colonia vs Real Sociedad

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante35%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score2–1ColoniaReal Sociedad
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 26% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Doble Oportunidad1273.8%1.36
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 60% · No 40%Ambos equipos marcan60%1.67
2.93 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colonia win39%2.562.3039%
Empate26%3.853.4026.4%
Real Sociedad win35%2.862.6034.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colonia1.52

Local share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Real Sociedad1.41

Visitante share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Colonia

3.00pts / match
Jugados2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 2/2

Visitante-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.52
Expected goals
1.41
ColoniaReal Sociedad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colonia signalLocal unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Colonia vs Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colonia ganada 39%,Empate 26%,Real Sociedad ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de