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SLV El Salvador Apertura · Round 22 ·

CD Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw27%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD CacahuatiqueFuerte San Francisco
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 27% / 24%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fuerte San Francisco win (24.2%)Double chance1X75.8%1.32
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Cacahuatique win49%2.041.8049.3%
Draw27%3.703.2527.3%
Fuerte San Francisco win24%4.173.8023.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Cacahuatique1.63

Home share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Fuerte San Francisco1.17

Away share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Cacahuatique

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fuerte San Francisco

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.63
Expected goals
1.17
CD CacahuatiqueFuerte San Francisco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Cacahuatique signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fuerte San Francisco signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Cacahuatique win 49%,Draw 27%,Fuerte San Francisco win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over