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MNE Montenegro Prva Liga · Fixture ·

FK Bokelj vs Sutjeska Niksic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw30%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK BokeljSutjeska Niksic
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 30% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Bokelj win (29.7%)Double chanceX270.3%1.42
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
7.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSutjeska Niksic winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Bokelj win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Sutjeska Niksic win41%2.442.2540%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Bokelj1.07

Home share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Sutjeska Niksic1.51

Away share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Bokelj

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sutjeska Niksic

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
15
Points from supplied form
0
1.07
Expected goals
1.51
FK BokeljSutjeska Niksic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Bokelj signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sutjeska Niksic signalHome clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FK Bokelj vs Sutjeska Niksic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Bokelj win 30%,Draw 30%,Sutjeska Niksic win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under