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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

FC LeKi vs ACE

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–25.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win77%
Draw13%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win77% selection probability
Projected score4–2FC LeKiACE
Expected goals5.52Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over91% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes76% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
77% / 13% / 11%Match resultHome win77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ACE win (10.6%)Double chance1X89.4%1.12
Over 91% · Under 9%Goals 2.5Over91%1.10
Yes 76% · No 24%Both teams scoreYes76%1.32
5.52 total expected goalsCorrect score4–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapFC LeKi winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC LeKi win77%1.301.2076.2%+0.8 pp
Draw13%7.697.0013.1%-0.1 pp
ACE win11%9.098.5010.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC LeKi4.01

Home share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals5.52Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 91% · Under 9%

ACE1.51

Away share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitYes 76% · No 24%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC LeKi

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

ACE

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
7
Points from supplied form
3
4.01
Expected goals
1.51
FC LeKiACE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC LeKi signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACE signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

FC LeKi vs ACE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–2 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC LeKi win 77%,Draw 13%,ACE win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.52 · Over 2.5 91% · Current selection Over