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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

VIFK vs SIF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win62%
Draw23%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score2–1VIFKSIF
Expected goals3.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 23% / 15%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SIF win (15.2%)Double chance1X84.8%1.18
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
3.19 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
VIFK win62%1.61
Draw23%4.35
SIF win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VIFK2.43

Home share of expected goals 76.2%

Total expected goals3.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

SIF0.76

Away share of expected goals 23.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

VIFK

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

SIF

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
10
2.43
Expected goals
0.76
VIFKSIF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VIFK signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SIF signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

VIFK vs SIF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VIFK win 62%,Draw 23%,SIF win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over