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SVK Slovakia 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina B vs OFK Malzenice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.81 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw28%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK Zilina BOFK Malzenice
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 28% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
MSK Zilina B win34%2.94
Draw28%3.57
OFK Malzenice win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina B1.36

Home share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

OFK Malzenice1.45

Away share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina B

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

OFK Malzenice

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.36
Expected goals
1.45
MSK Zilina BOFK Malzenice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina B signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OFK Malzenice signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina B vs OFK Malzenice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina B win 34%,Draw 28%,OFK Malzenice win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over